News Now
- Iran: Deal – finally
- Iran: What will Congress do?
- Greece: Tsipras struggles for support
- Pentagon may lift transgender ban
- Son of Boston cop charged: Pro-ISIS plot
- El Chapo gloats on Twitter: Warns Trump
- Walker kicks off 2016 run
- Obama commutes 46 drug sentences
- Obama: Urgent to care for older Americans
• Iran and a group of six world nations led by the U.S. have agreed to a historic accord to significantly limit Tehran’s nuclear ability for more than a decade in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions against Iran, a senior Western diplomat involved in the negotiations said today. President Obama is expected to make a public statement today
• The diplomat signaled that all of the main outstanding issues had been resolved, including the thorny question of how many years an embargo on conventional arms shipments into and out of Iran would remain in place. (U.S. didn’t want it lifted) The agreement outlines in painstaking detail how much nuclear fuel Iran can keep in the country for the next 15 years
• Also, what kind of R&D it can perform on centrifuges and other nuclear equipment; and the redesign of both a nuclear reactor and a deep underground enrichment site that Israeli and American officials feared could be invulnerable to bombing. Iran’s FM Javad Zarif this morning called the deal “not perfect,” a “win-win solution” and a “new chapter of hope.”
• But to strike the deal, SecState John Kerry and others had to accept an understanding that essentially left in place most of Iran’s infrastructure at the country’s main nuclear sites though much of it would be disassembled and put in storage. Iran is likely to cite that fact as evidence that it never gave in to the West’s demand that it dismantle its critical facilities (it didn’t)
What Will Congress Do?
• The agreement not to shutter Iran’s most advanced nuclear facilities is expected to be a focal point of critics in Congress (I’ll bet), which now has 60 days to approve or reject the deal. The accord will be a political agreement, not a legally binding treaty
• Some restrictions limiting Iran’s program begin to phase out after 10 years. Then, after 15 years, Iran would be free to produce as much enriched uranium as it wanted. In theory, though, the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, to which Iran is a signatory, would prevent it from taken the last steps to produce a weapon (not a massive deterrent…)
• Obama’s chances of prevailing in Congress are considered high. Even if the accord is voted down by one or both houses, he could veto that action, and he’s likely to have the votes he would need to prevail in an effort to override the veto. But he’s said he wants a congressional endorsement. (and no deal would mean the Iranians could do anything, anytime, anyway)
• Obama will also have to manage the breach with Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu and the leaders of Saudi Arabia and other Arab states who have warned against the deal, saying the relief of sanctions will ultimately empower the Iranians throughout the Middle East (concern about arms embargo and Iran arming Syria and militant groups in particular)
• Flashback 2009: U.S. and allies warn Iran over nuclear “deception” after discovery of secret Iranian nuclear enrichment plant, demanding highly intrusive international inspections and propelling the confrontation with Tehran to a new and volatile pitch (NYT)
Greece: Tsipras Struggles for Support (BBC, me)
• Greek PM Alexis Tsipras is facing a tough battle to win support from coalition partners for the third bailout offered by eurozone leaders. Four pieces of legislation must be passed by the end of Wednesday including pension, value added tax (VAT) reform and liberalizing the labor market
• But defense minister Panos Kammenos, a junior coalition partner from the Independent Greeks party, has already said he won’t support the measures, likening the situation to a “coup” for foreign leaders. However, he wants to remain in govt (!). If the deal fails, Greece’s banks face collapse and the country could then be forced to leave the euro
• Finance ministers from all 28 EU countries are holding a scheduled meeting in Brussels this morning, where they’ll discuss the situation in Greece. There have been demonstrations at the Greek Parliament while unions threatened to strike. Greece missed a payment of 456 million euros to the IMF late Monday
• Following about 17 hours of summit talks in Brussels, an EU statement on Monday spoke of up to 86 billion euros of financing for Greece over three years. Parliaments in several eurozone states also have to approve any new bailout. Stocks in the U.S. and Europe advanced Monday, celebrating the Greek deal – (may be a bit premature)
• Many Greeks and others believing unduly harsh terms are being imposed have expressed their widespread anger online using the hashtag #ThisIsACoup.. Tsipras is expected to reshuffle his cabinet and possibly form a new unity govt later this week. Greece is due to make a 3.5 billion euro payment to the European Central Bank on 20 July
• House Republicans called for a brief extension of highway and mass transit funding Monday night to prevent a reduction in scheduled construction as early as this summer (yet another punt). Could come up for a vote this week. It calls for $8 billion to keep the programs funded through 18 December – no renewal of Export-Import Bank (AP, me)
Pentagon May Lift Transgender Ban (AP, TRNS, me)
• The Pentagon’s current regulations banning transgender individuals from serving in the military are outdated, SecDef Ash Carter said Monday, ordering a six-month study aimed at formally ending one of the last gender- or sexuality-based barriers to military service
• Carter said he’s creating a working group to review the policies and determine if lifting the ban would have any impact on the military’s ability to be ready for battle. But he said the group will begin with the presumption that transgender people should be able to serve openly unless there are readiness impediments
• The group will look at costs and develop uniform guidelines. During the six months, transgender individuals still wouldn’t be able to join the military, but any decisions to force out those already serving would be referred to Brad Carson, personnel undersecretary, who’s leading the working group – goal is to avoid forcing people out
• Some key concerns involved in the repeal of the ban include whether the military would conduct or pay for the medical costs of surgeries and other treatments associated with any gender transition, as well as physical training or testing standards. Also housing, uniforms, berthing, bathrooms, integration etc
• The issue came to the fore as the military struggled with how to deal with convicted national security leaker Chelsea Manning’s – Wikileaks – request for hormone therapy and other treatments while she’s in prison. Manning is the first transgender military prisoner to request such treatment – the Army approved it, under pressure from a lawsuit
• The Boy Scouts of America Executive Committee unanimously approved allowing gay adults to serve as leaders, officials said Monday. The National Executive Board will meet to ratify on 27 July. In May, Boy Scouts President and former SecDef Robert Gates told the group’s national meeting that the ban needed to end (Reuters)
• The estranged son of a Boston police captain was arrested on 4 July for a plot to carry out a terrorist attack in support of ISIS. According to federal charges unsealed Monday, Alexander Ciccolo, 23, also known as Ali Al Amriki, was a supporter of ISIS and had discussed plans to use guns and homemade bombs to wreak havoc in support of the group
• FBI agents found machetes and partially constructed Molotov cocktails in his apartment, the DoJ said, and had watched him buy a pressure cooker. Ciccolo allegedly discussed filling pressure cookers with black powder, “ball bearings, nails, glass
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