In the News
- Midterm Madness: “Vote. Vote. Vote. Vote.”
- Five keys to Republicans winning the Senate
- Midterm Madness: One more day
- Ready for losses, Obama sets new agenda
- Cruzing for confrontation
- Ferguson no-fly zone aimed at media
- SCOTUS today: Born in – – – Israel?
- Maine nurse slams Christie on Ebola
- UN panel issues dire climate warning
- Terminally ill Brittany Maynard dies
- Virgin Galactic crash: ?
Midterm Madness: “Vote. Vote. Vote. Vote.”
• President Obama finished out his brief midterm campaign run in Philadelphia on Sunday, urging Democrats to get to the polls and to oust sitting Republican Gov Tom Corbett. “You’ve gotta vote,” he told the crowd of 5,500. “I have got a simple message: we’ve got to vote … Vote. Vote. Vote. Vote. Vote.” (Politico, WaPo, NYT, me)
• Democratic Sen Jeanne Shaheen and her GOP rival Scott Brown are running neck-and-neck on the eve of Election Day, according to two new polls released Sunday night in New Hampshire. A WMUR Granite State Poll has Shaheen leading Brown 46% to 43% among likely voters. A New England College poll shows both taking 48%
• In Georgia, most polls over the past week show Republican David Perdue retaking a 2-3 point lead over Democrat Michelle Nunn in the Senate race. Perdue’s gains come from white voters
• The Des Moines Register’s final poll of the Iowa Senate race shows Republican Joni Ernst with a 7-point lead over Democrat Bruce Braley, 51% to 44%. The Register’s pollster, J. Ann Selzer, who has a good track record, told the paper: “This race looks like it’s decided.”
Five Keys to Republicans Winning the Senate
• Don’t blow the easy ones. It would be stunning if Republicans fail to grab three seats where veteran Democrats are retiring and where President Obama lost badly: West Virginia, South Dakota and Montana. Those states should put the GOP halfway to its goal of six pickups (AP, me)
• Target four other states Obama lost. Democrats Mark Pryor (AR) and Mary Landrieu (LA) look to buck the the South’s continued drift toward the GOP. In Alaska, Mark Begich (D) is struggling. Dems feel slightly better about first-termer Kay Hagan (D) of North Carolina. GOP victories in three of these four states give them the magic six
• Don’t go backward. But if Republicans lose any seats they now hold, they’ll need to take more than six from Democrats to gain the majority. Republicans fret the most about Georgia, where Dem Michelle Nunn and Republican David Perdue are battling it out. In Kansas independent Greg Orman might beat GOP Sen Pat Roberts – but Orman could align with the GOP
• Win in a few states Mitt Romney lost. Republicans have a chance to grab Colorado from Sen Mark Udall (D) and Joni Ernst (R) looks poised to win Iowa where Sen Tom Harkin (D) is retiring. Dems feel slightly better about fending off Republican challenger Scott Brown in NH against Sen Jeanne Shaheen (D)
• Endure uncertainty and win runoffs. Election night could be long, messy and uncertain. We might not know Alaska’s results for a week. A 6 Dec runoff is likely in Louisiana between Landrieu and GOP Rep Bill Cassidy. In Georgia, a runoff wouldn’t be held until January
Midterm Madness: One More Day
• While rallying the faithful on behalf of Gov Dan Malloy (D-CT) in Bridgeport Sunday, President Obama was interrupted at least four times by activists, shouting at him to take action on immigration. “It’s the other party that’s blocked it,” Obama said over commotion in the audience (Hill, Politico, WaPo, Buzzfeed, me)
• Retiring Sen Tom Harkin (D-IA) said last week, “There’s sort of this sense that, ‘Well, I hear so much about Joni Ernst. She is really attractive, and she sounds nice.’ Well, I gotta thinking about that. I don’t care if she’s as good looking as Taylor Swift or as nice as Mr Rogers, but if she votes like Michele Bachmann, she’s wrong for the state of Iowa.”
• At a fish fry in rural North Carolina, GOP Senate candidate Thom Tillis repeatedly tied opponent Sen Kay Hagan (D) to President Obama. “He will pack the federal courts with the most liberal activist judges you’ve ever seen. He will sign an executive order granting amnesty, threatening the American workers and threatening our safety and security.”
• Sen Rand Paul (R-KY said Sunday on NBC’s Meet the Press that, while he doesn’t think voter ID is unreasonable, “I just think it’s a dumb idea for Republicans to emphasize this and say, ‘This is how we’re going to win the elections.”
• DNC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) predicted Sunday on ABC’s This Week that her party will hold the Senate thanks to its “superior” ground games in key states. RNC chair Reince Priebus said on the same show, “Our ground game is whipping their ground game.”
Ready for Losses, Obama Sets New Agenda
• Whipsawed by events and facing another midterm electoral defeat, President Obama has directed his team to forge a policy agenda to regain momentum for his final two years in office even as some advisers urge that he rethink the way he governs. Top aides have been meeting for weeks (NYT, me)
• Obama will continue to exercise his executive authority to advance Democratic policies on climate change, immigration, energy, gay rights and economic issues, aides said. The president may announce quickly after the election a unilateral overhaul of immigration rules
• But Obama will also confront the question of whether he needs to change the way he operates. Even some of his strongest supporters are quietly recommending changes in his staff and a more open decision-making process
• Among advisers inside and outside the WH, there’s a growing sense that Obama has closed himself off within a shrinking circle of aides. Some advisers who had been influential said they were no longer consulted as much. They worry that Denis McDonough, WH chief of staff, has taken on too much himself
• Then there’s the question of working with a possible Republican Senate majority. Republicans said the onus would be on Obama, faulting him for being unwilling to accommodate the opposition. Rep Tom Cole (R-OK) said that his party faced a similar choice. “It will be as much a test for the Republicans as the Democrats.”
Cruz Looking for Confrontation
• In an interview with WaPo in Alaska, Sen Ted Cruz (R-TX) made clear that he’s pushing hard for a Republican-led Senate to be as conservative and confrontational as the Republican-led House. He wouldn’t pledge his support for Sen Mitch McConnell for Republican leader (WaPo, me)
• Piggybacking on what House leaders have done, Cruz said the first order of business should be a series of hearings on President Obama, “looking at the abuse of power, the executive abuse, the regulatory abuse, the lawlessness that sadly has pervaded this administration.”
• Republicans should “pursue every means possible to repeal Obamacare,” Cruz said, including forcing a vote through parliamentary procedures that would get around a possible filibuster by Democrats. If that leads to a veto by Obama, Republicans should then vote on provisions of the health law, “one at a time.”
• Two weeks ago, Cruz wrote an op-ed in USA Today laying out 10 conservative priorities he thinks Republicans should pursue, including moving toward a flat tax and drawing a hard line on illegal immigrants. In the WaPo interview, Cruz reiterated some of those points, such as approving the Keystone XL pipeline
• Rep Peter King (R-NY), a Long Island moderate, said Republicans should be wary of Cruz’s guidance. “He is the last one we should listen to,” King said in an interview Sunday. “Don’t forget – a year ago he brought Republicans over the cliff.”
• U.S. Marine Sgt Andrew Tahmooressi, freed from a Mexican jail after serving eight months for crossing the border with loaded guns, needs some time to “decompress” and is looking forward to dinner at South Beach seafood eatery Joe’s Stone Crab (AP)
Ferguson No-Fly Zone Aimed at Media
• The U.S. govt agreed to a police request to restrict more than 37 square miles of airspace surrounding Ferguson MO for 12 days in August for safety, but audio recordings show that local authorities privately acknowledged the purpose was to keep away news helicopters during violent street protests (AP, me)
• At one point a manager at the FAA’s Kansas City center said police “did not care if you ran commercial traffic through this TFR (temporary flight restriction) all day long. They didn’t want media in there.” AP obtained the recordings through a FOIA
• The conversations contradict claims by the St Louis County PD, which responded to demonstrations following the shooting death of 18-year-old Michael Brown, that the restriction was solely for safety and had nothing to do with preventing media from witnessing the violence or the police response
• Police said at the time, and again as recently as late Friday to the AP, that they requested the flight restriction in response to shots fired at a police helicopter
• But police officials confirmed there was no damage to their helicopter and were unable to provide an incident report on the shooting. On the tapes, an FAA manager describes the helicopter shooting as unconfirmed “rumors.”
Police Deny
• An FAA manager urged modifying the flight restriction so that planes landing at Lambert-St Louis Airport could still enter the airspace around Ferguson. An FAA official wasn’t concerned: “A lot of the time the
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